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Originally Posted by RichardTodd » Contracts bought and sold are always equal amounts, obviously, so... all you are really saying here is that you don't know how to interpret a delta indicator. In general, price moving down while delta runs up indicates not much size on the bid. And lo and behold, your example has the smaller trader on the bid. See? |
I know how to interpret the delta indicator. What you don't see though is that after taking out the bid, 800 were left on the offer. He might even offer an additional 1000 and some long traders will be hitting the bid to get out of their losing position since they won't get filled on the offer with a huge offer like that. You always need to interpret whatever you are looking at. My point is that indicators like this leave out a lot of information.
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Originally Posted by RichardTodd » On the other hand I have seen trades matched inside the spread countless times on the NYSE, and I think it's fairly common knowledge that the specialist has a certain amount of time to hold orders for matching (which effectively makes all batched orders "simultaneous"). Or at least they used to.. it's been a while and maybe the hybrid system changed that up. |
I'd never trade a market with specialists. You have an information disadvantage. In Futures everyone sees the same information.
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Originally Posted by BlowFish » Maybe the Lee & Ready algorithm papers might explain things better than me. |
You are comparing apples with oranges. These papers use historical data from the exchanges that includes spread trades and OTC trades that are not reported in real-time so you do not see them in a live-feed any way. So yes they do happen, but you won't see that live-trading. I was on the phone with TT and Eurex yesterday with regards to another issue and they confirmed that you won't see spread trades and OTC trades taking place in the data feed. I've actually gotten filled several times without seeing a trade being reported at that price, which must have been a spread trade.
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Originally Posted by BlowFish » The thing is a stop is just a market order sitting there waiting to execute at a certain price or better. If a limit comes in and crosses that order it will execute and never display on the order book. It is also quite possible for this price to be between the current best bid and ask. Just look at a data run particularly around news or a busy open - it happens even on the ES. |
Of course, it does. You see it in Time & Sales, don't you? Well if it's there, then it was in the order book, you just couldn't see it with your eyes because it happened to quickly for your eyes to see. I can actually prove this because I have developed a way of visualizing all changes in the order book. And I do look at it during news.
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Originally Posted by BlowFish » I agree It is bothersome not knowing if a string of events happened at the same time or in sequence but slightly apart. More often than not they do occur at the same time. (I have a hunch we will have differing opinions on that  ) If you see price tick above the days high and 500 orders execute at the same time there is a pretty good chance that they really did. above price extremeties there will be 100's of orders on both side of the book (stops and limits) just waiting to be filled. You would not want to see them with different time stamps nor should you. Of course with aggregation (and we dont really know who is an by how much) things get very hard to slice and dice. |
The exchange still executes these market orders sequentially (it's software after all) and if it's sequential then there is a small time difference. If you don't understand this, then I don't see the point of continuing this discussion. You just say stuff that isn't true and makes no sense.
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Originally Posted by taotree » Now, that assumes that the data flow from exchange through feed provider all preserve the sequence of events as they send it to you |
Well, they don't. At least in none of the data feeds I've worked with can you get sequential order book updates. Instead you get the state of entire order book at one point in time.
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Originally Posted by paolfili » Is this the correct Exchanges behaviour?
Where can I find some (CME,EUREX,etc) explanation on the market dynamics you suggest? (order on trade never displayed on the book) |
You won't find it because it's not true. I think before believe anything on an anonymous forum you should use common sense and/or call the exchange and just ask them if it is important to you to know how that works.