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Old 03-13-2009, 11:29 AM   #33

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

No problem! In the p/l thread I'm trying to keep the trading to 1-2 contracts to watch the p/l closer on that account.

The nice thing about trading bonds is that you can trade 1 and still get some decent profit potential out of it IMO.
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Old 03-13-2009, 11:40 AM   #34

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

Excelllent

I was in the bond game for a number of years but just managing them and selling them.
The futures part of the game is still new and will be the next topic I tackle after getting a better understanding of stock index futures
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Old 03-17-2009, 08:37 PM   #35

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

Hi BF,

I have been enjoying your threads and would be grateful if you would post some charts of your bond set ups. That is if you wouldn't mind.
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Old 03-17-2009, 09:26 PM   #36

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

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Originally Posted by XDTrader »
Hi BF,

I have been enjoying your threads and would be grateful if you would post some charts of your bond set ups. That is if you wouldn't mind.
I look for action to occur at what I define as support/resistance areas. I'm basically looking to get in when big moves can occur.
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Old 03-18-2009, 05:11 PM   #37

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

Sounds like you keep it real simple. Do you look at volume charts, and if so what number volume bars?

I am assuming since this is in the candlestick forums that you look for specific candle patterns at the S/R?
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Old 03-18-2009, 06:29 PM   #38

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

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Originally Posted by XDTrader »
Sounds like you keep it real simple. Do you look at volume charts, and if so what number volume bars?

I am assuming since this is in the candlestick forums that you look for specific candle patterns at the S/R?
It's funny - in my head it's pretty simple. Now if someone that did not know what I was doing looked at my setups, they might think otherwise.

As you noted, I moderate the candlestick corner and a lot of what I use is right there. This part of the forums is not as active as the VSA guys and stuff, but that's probably b/c my stuff is straight forward and you can actually understand it the first time.

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Old 04-25-2009, 10:52 AM   #39

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

the /zb is one of the easiest things to trade. There are of course a few things to look out for and those things you will catch the more you trade it.

Here's a few setups that occur most of the time.

Equal Distance Trade
12 tick reversal (happens once a new low is broken most of the time)
6 tick reversal
50% retracements

Things to look out for.
Those 1000 lot orders on the dom, while most get pulled, some are real and they'll take everyone out and this happens at least once a day...
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Old 04-25-2009, 11:58 AM   #40

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Re: Bond Futures, Not Sexy but Worth a Look!

Bond Market Fundamentals Long Term View:

The slow velocity of money will prevent inflationary times, even though the money supply is being dramatically increased, it largely is not being spent in the real economy. Printing excess dollars only matters if it trickles down to consumers who actually spend those dollars.

We are facing a period like 1874-94 USA, 1929-41 USA and 1998-2008 Japan -- all deflationary periods, as opposed to our relatively frequent normal business cycle recessions.

Therefore, deflation is the likely scenario over the next decade, not inflation.

The 30yr Bond will go up on Monday ( short covering rally ) before it goes down again when Ring Ting TIM ( Treasury Sec. ) opens his mouth again and barks, then the 3% 10 Yr yield willl be penetrated and violated.
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