Jump to content

Welcome to the new Traders Laboratory! Please bear with us as we finish the migration over the next few days. If you find any issues, want to leave feedback, get in touch with us, or offer suggestions please post to the Support forum here.

  • Welcome Guests

    Welcome. You are currently viewing the forum as a guest which does not give you access to all the great features at Traders Laboratory such as interacting with members, access to all forums, downloading attachments, and eligibility to win free giveaways. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free. Create a FREE Traders Laboratory account here.

brownsfan019

Knowing Your System Works and then Doing It. Easier Said Than Done.

Recommended Posts

In this post, I explained to the OP that following your system when things are not looking good is easier said than done sometimes and thought I'd explain further.

 

Today (Dec 12) was one of those days where if I told you the end result of my P&L you might say, nice day.

 

Ending P&L: $779.89/ct after commissions

Not the greatest, but acceptable.

 

Now, allow me to take you through how this day progressed and you can see why it's easier said than done to follow your system 100% and not lose faith.

 

I am currently focusing on 3 markets to trade - ES, EC/6E and ZN. The main reason being that I am trying to be more particular in my setups and instead of forcing on the ES only, I find it easier to be patient using 3 markets.

ES trades for Dec 12:

+1.25, -2.25, -2, -2, -1.5, -1.75, -1.5, +5.75 = -4.00 on Day

 

EC trades for Dec 12:

-13, -12, +26, -9, -9, +6, +36 = +25 on Day

 

ZN trades for Dec 12:

+21, -4, +19, +10 = +46 on Day

As you can see, not the easiest path to get from point A to point B. We know that the shortest distance between 2 points is a straight line and while it's much easier having a day where you start at 0.00 to +1,000 with no losses, that's not entirely realistic IMO.

 

But if you were to look at starting at 0.00 and ending at $779.89, it'd be hard to argue that was a bad day.

 

I posted this b/c in the other thread the OP is showing some solid faith in his system and following it. Once you know that your system makes money, then it's a little easier to do this. Of course you need to get there, but once there, you can do it.

 

In the end this business is first about knowing that your system makes money over time and then doing it while minimizing emotional impact. I still get frustrated at times but days like today remind me of how important it is to keep doing it. I had no idea going into the day that the ES would be so rough today. I had no idea that the EC would make money, but only after a few losses. And I had no idea that the ZN would be like taking candy from a baby. And I have no idea what tomorrow will hold. I just have the faith that I can do the job and follow the plan. As soon as I stray from that, then I am subject to P&L fluctuations not planned for.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

continued from other thread:

 

Thats so true. I have faith in my system and thats what matters. So I had some bad luck, shit happens. It's frustrating...I'm not going to lie, but at the end when i'm done throwing things and cursing, I just laugh because I know my system. I saw a post on here one time about how its impossible to maintain the correct mindset and discipline if your rules aren't working or are flawed. In my journal I noted that I thought that the BEST time to stick to your rules is when all hell is breaking loose. That's when discipline matters the most. Thanks for your example.

 

For me, I have taken 7 trades this week and 6 have been stopped. Thats the worst its ever been, but because I followed my rules I am only down -2.25NQ. Also, 2 of those trades we're just barely stopped before the big move in my direction. That hardly ever happens, let alone 2 times in a row. But because I followed my rules I know that either one of those would have sent me WELL into the green. To me it's almost like flipping a coin. It's 50/50, but you might get heads 4 times in a row, the trick is to follow your rules so that your losses will be limited when that happens. Six losers in a row cost be 18 points, but the other week I had 2 winners in a row that netted me 50 points. Keep the R/R favorable by just following your rules!

 

I think trading your rules helps you trust it. I trust my system because I have traded it live for a while now. I've back-tested too, but for me that doesn't compare. My faith in my rules comes from the fact that they have given me 6 goal-meeting, profitable weeks in a row. The discipline demon tries to come in and get me to not take a set up, or to exit a trade early, but now I have ammunition against him because the past weeks have shown me that following these rules are what work.

 

I agree 100%. Follow your rules when they work. Follow them when they don't work. If you want to break them that's fine...just don't expect consistency. A lot of rule breakers out there....I would venture a guess that the vast majority of traders break their rules...say, I dont know...95% of them?;)

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's not easy, but once you have convinced yourself that you have a good way to trade, you then have to follow it. Of course getting to that point is not easy, but once there, you have to believe in the work that you've done up to that point.

 

Today's trading was much easier on the stomach and the result was a little better than yesterday. The key today was a lot less trades (esp on the ES) and a smoother equity curve. All 3 markets contributed about the same to the P&L.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
...following your system when things are not looking good is easier said than done sometimes...

 

So true! EUR/USD action kept me on the sidelines first week of december. The fear of continuing sideway action made me miss the entire last weeks rally. I hope taking action will become easier as experience grows.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.


  • Topics

  • Posts

    • Date: 23rd April 2024. European PMIs Paint Mixed Picture, ECB advise a June Cut is Certain. The German DAX recorded its highest monthly increase as investors continue to predict a weaker EU monetary policy. JP Morgan again advised stocks are overcrowded and may see a stronger downward correction. However, economists advise this is only possible if geo-political tension escalates or companies fail to beat earnings predictions. Gold witnesses its strongest decline in 2024 falling 2.64% on Monday and a further 1.32% during this morning’s Asian session. The Euro is the best performing currency after the day’s PMI releases. However, investors should note that the US Dollar during the Asian session was performing significantly better. USA500 – Visa and Tesla Ready Shareholders For Earnings Release! The SNP500 rose 0.87% during the US trading session and also broke the previous swing high. However, JP Morgan again told journalists there are signs that the stock market is “overcrowded”. When institutions are overexposed to certain stocks or industries, it only takes one big fund to start de-levering and then others will follow. Though, investors should note that this would also depend on three factors. The first is earnings, the second is geo-political tensions and the third is inflation. This week, investors will largely watch earnings, particularly Visa and Tesla. Visa and Tesla currently hold a weight of 2.00% and are two of the most influential stocks. Tesla continues to be one of the worst performing stocks, but Visa’s earnings are less certain. Visa has beat earnings and revenue expectations over the past 4 occasions but has been struggling over the past 30 days. Analysts expect earnings and revenue to remain at the same level compared to the previous quarter. However, higher earnings can potentially increase demand. Visa stocks have risen 5.20% in 2024 and have a dividend yield of 0.76%. However, as mentioned above, the performance of the stock market will largely depend also on inflation and geo-political tensions. Though these are not likely to change within the upcoming days. In regard to inflation, investors will be eager to see if inflation again rises, in which case, interest rate cuts will likely not be possible for 2024. If this scenario materialises, stocks can decline between 20-30% ($3,700-$4,220). GER30 – ECB Ready To Cut Rates In June 2024! On a 2-hour timeframe the price of the GER30 is trading above the 75-Bar EMA and above the VWAP. In addition to this, the asset is obtaining buy signals also from oscillators and price action. The index has retraced since the release of the European PMI data, but if the price rises above 18,067, without breaking the day’s low price, buy signals will become active. One of the key drivers, along with this morning’s PMI release for Germany and France, is the latest comments from members of the ECB. According to ECB representative Mr Villeroy, even if oil remains volatile, the regulator will look to cut in June 2024. In addition to Mr Villeroy, Mr De Guindos told journalists that a rate cut in June is “crystal clear”. The guidance given is increasing the demand for the German DAX as are indications of stronger economic data. The French PMI data saw the Services index rise above 50.00 for the first time since May 2023 and beat expectations. However, the manufacturing index continues to struggle and fell compared to the previous month. The German PMI was a similar picture. The Services PMI rose to a 10-month high and beat expectations, but the Manufacturing Index read lower than the 42.8 expectations and is at a 6-month low. Always trade with strict risk management. Your capital is the single most important aspect of your trading business. Please note that times displayed based on local time zone and are from time of writing this report. Click HERE to access the full HFM Economic calendar. Want to learn to trade and analyse the markets? Join our webinars and get analysis and trading ideas combined with better understanding on how markets work. Click HERE to register for FREE! Click HERE to READ more Market news. Michalis Efthymiou Market Analyst HFMarkets Disclaimer: This material is provided as a general marketing communication for information purposes only and does not constitute an independent investment research. Nothing in this communication contains, or should be considered as containing, an investment advice or an investment recommendation or a solicitation for the purpose of buying or selling of any financial instrument. All information provided is gathered from reputable sources and any information containing an indication of past performance is not a guarantee or reliable indicator of future performance. Users acknowledge that any investment in FX and CFDs products is characterized by a certain degree of uncertainty and that any investment of this nature involves a high level of risk for which the users are solely responsible and liable. We assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment made based on the information provided in this communication. This communication must not be reproduced or further distributed without our prior written permission.
    • $DVN Devon Energy stock moving higher off support, https://stockconsultant.com/?DVN
    • $COF Capital One stock nice breakout, from Stocks To Watch, https://stockconsultant.com/?COF  
    • $CVNA Carvana stock back to 70.8 gap support area, high trade quality, https://stockconsultant.com/?CVNA
    • $VKTX Viking Therapeutics stock important area, back to 64.34 gap support, https://stockconsultant.com/?VKTX
×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

By using this site, you agree to our Terms of Use.