[trader273]

In this thread http://www.traderslaboratory.com/for...html#post33729

I showed that after the move up in crude, a trader should not be surprised to see a move back to the middle of the candle. That level was 107.70. Plotting that level and going to a 15 min chart, you get the following:


Just some simple analysis can yield some nice profits. Of course there is much more to consider. Such as:

• Where and How to Enter
• Where to put a protective stop
• Where to take profits
• How close to Support/Resistance does price need to come

[james_gsx]

I find that plotting intraday support and resistance lines before the day actually helps me quite a bit. Even if I miss the day, when I come home and see how well they worked I am usually surprised. If anything, they can yield nice scalping trades.

The other nice thing you have on your chart is a hanging man right at resistance on the daily. This indicates that selling took place in the trend (up) and could have resulted in a nice scalp at least to the low of the candle or however your risk/reward plan is setup. But there are at least two great trades in that one small chart.

[james_gsx]

Nice bounce off support on the 15min, and if we were to close the final candle right now it could be a spinning top. If we break resistance we could have a nice double bottom. CL is a volatile contract, so a move like this wouldn't surprise me. It also wouldn't surprise me if it didn't happen

[DbPhoenix]

Another important aspect of all this which is not mentioned often enough and so often missed is that by trading at the extremes, one avoids being chopped to death inbetween. Once one begins trading off support and resistance, he will find himself making far fewer trades, holding them until their natural culmination, and better resisting the temptation to "jump in" when he knows full well that he missed -- if he did -- the correct entry.

[trader273]

This support was right on today.

[trader273]

Here is an intra-day look at crude after the all time high was made. As seen on the daily chart the daily candle finished with a large upper shadow, representing sellers coming in. The all-time could resistance.

[SunTrader]

I like to think of bars with long wicks in a down move around a support area as more a drying up of selling pressure and not necessarily a large influx of new buyers.

Otherwise why is there such a large move down from the previous close.

Obviously there was buyers above, but there was still too many sellers to be absorbed till it went lower. It then stopped going much lower once enough weak hands capitulated and got out.

Once the move started back up more buyers and short coverers came in and less sellers were inclined to get out or potential new short sellers deciding to wait for a better entry point.

Vice versa in other direction, naturally.

[trader273]

Originally Posted by SunTrader »

I like to think of bars with long wicks in a down move around a support area as more a drying up of selling pressure and not necessarily a large influx of new buyers.

Otherwise why is there such a large move down from the previous close.

Obviously there was buyers above, but there was still too many sellers to be absorbed till it went lower. It then stopped going much lower once enough weak hands capitulated and got out.

Once the move started back up more buyers and short coverers came in and less sellers were inclined to get out or potential new short sellers deciding to wait for a better entry point.

Vice versa in other direction, naturally.

I dont think its possible to tell if the long shadow after a move is either buyers drying up or sellers coming in. I think that is what the guys over in the VSA thread are trying to do, but they post everything in hindsight and some see entirely different things on the same bar. Many have shown time after time in the CC that simple analysis is all that is needed.