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Es 11-2-10

Posted 11-02-2010 at 09:46 PM by Tradewinds

Price was volatile and choppy in the first 20 minutes of trading, on a day with not a lot of news scheduled, and the election going on. That's not surprising.
I keep saying that the ES has an extreme price between 9:50 and 10:10am. And the high for the morning was at 9:53am. Even though the price moved up and peaked at 9:53, the ADVN-DECN was drifting down. So price and the Advancers - Decliners were going in opposite directions. Who's going to win that battle? ADVN-DECN is going...
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Old

Es 11-1-10

Posted 11-01-2010 at 08:49 PM by Tradewinds

The ES had drifted down before the news at 8:30, then the news was better than expected. If the ES had been trending up before the good news, I would have expected it to drop on good news. But the price was drifting down, and the news was better than expected, so price went up. The TICK failed to make a higher high at 9:47 am. After the TICK fails to make a higher high or lower, low I look for one more surge on the TICK. That happened at 9:51 am. At 9:51 am the TICK made a higher high, but...
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Old

Es 10-22-10

Posted 10-22-2010 at 06:44 PM by Tradewinds

The ES was gapped up before the open. With no news and almost no earnings report, the price dropped towards the half gap approaching the open. Price filled the half gaps in two minutes, and bounced off those levels. Price was choppy and volatile. Price oscillated back and forth across the opening price level. All of these things are reasonably predictable given the lack of news on a Friday. Price being gapped up, with no obvious reason automatically causes me to short before the open. The...
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Old

10-21-10 es

Posted 10-21-2010 at 12:42 PM by Tradewinds

The ES often has an extreme price between 9:50 and 10:10. Today, price bounced off the opening level at 10:02 am. So this is the second day in a row, that the open was a resistance level. News came out at 10am. The news at 10 was a little tricky. Everything was worse than forecast, but the price went up. Even though things were worse than forecast, they were better than previous. Accum volume was up, and UVOL - DVOL was up. But price broke down at 11am, and dropped all the way to the half...
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Old

10-21-10

Posted 10-21-2010 at 09:42 AM by Tradewinds

Price moved up before the news at 8:30. The news was good. What did the price of the ES do? It went DOWN, on good news. From 8:30 to 9:30 the ES went down 4 points. Price went back up after the open, but the immediate reaction to news, is often the opposite of the news if the price has already moved in the direction of the news. In other words, price was going up before the good news came out.
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