The purpose of this is to serve as a closet, or attic, or self-storage facility. A place for me to store what I don't want to lose, all in one place, partly for me, but largely for those who may be interested in what I think about market stuff and trading stuff.
I've reserved the right to moderate comments. Assuming that this works, the point of it is to keep the blog on task as much as possible. Substantive questions will be answered, if I can, but good wishes and so forth will not be posted, not because I don't appreciate them, but because all of that is a lot for newcomers to wade through after a while, so please don't be insulted if you don't see your comment posted.
The first post is a link to a preview of my book. This may be of no interest to you whatsoever, but I do encourage those who are interested to at least look it over before plunking down any money for something that may be of little or no use to them.
Good trading.
Note: it may not be immediately apparent that this is neither a journal nor a trading log. Therefore, the chronology of the posts is immaterial. The posts are instead organized according to the "categories" listed in the sidebar on the left.
I've reserved the right to moderate comments. Assuming that this works, the point of it is to keep the blog on task as much as possible. Substantive questions will be answered, if I can, but good wishes and so forth will not be posted, not because I don't appreciate them, but because all of that is a lot for newcomers to wade through after a while, so please don't be insulted if you don't see your comment posted.
The first post is a link to a preview of my book. This may be of no interest to you whatsoever, but I do encourage those who are interested to at least look it over before plunking down any money for something that may be of little or no use to them.
Good trading.
Note: it may not be immediately apparent that this is neither a journal nor a trading log. Therefore, the chronology of the posts is immaterial. The posts are instead organized according to the "categories" listed in the sidebar on the left.
Indicators
The indicator phase is something that probably everybody probably has to go through, whether it's MAs, stochastics, MACD, %R, VWAP, Market Profile (if you're looking only at the form if it), Pivot Points, Fibonacci, Bollinger Bands, chart patterns of one sort or another, candles, or even the price bars themselves (range bars, CVBs, tick bars, VSA, etc). And if one can make that endeavor successful by going through the necessary testing and developing the necessary plan, then there's absolutely nothing wrong with settling into that phase for the rest of one's successful trading life.
Since all of this depends on its existence on the movement of price, however, it is all "price action", hence the confusion over what is meant by "price action". But trading by price means simply that one is following price flow (not order flow, but the movement of price) and the imbalances between buying pressure and selling pressure that prompt that flow. It has nothing to do with any kind of indicator or any sort of bar or even any kind of chart. Is it superior? Yes, if it makes more money than an indicator-based approach. If it doesn't, then no. Does it get one into moves earlier than an indicator-based approach (including those which focus on bars)? Yes, if one understands the buying-selling dynamics mentioned above. But getting in early is only part of what is required to make a profit. Otherwise, all counter-trend traders would be rich.
Though there are undoubtedly price action people who look down their noses at indicator people, the PA people have no reason to feel superior. And contrary to the beliefs of some indicator people, the PA people do not fail to understand indicators; they just don't see the point (other than perhaps scanning a database for price movements). In most cases, the latter have in fact gone through all this, as mentioned earlier, and had insufficient success with it, just as they've been dissatisfied with the chat room phase and the newsletter phase and the advisory service phase and the red-green arrow software phase and the seminar-course-workshop-DVD phase and the trade-the-news phase and the chart pattern phase and have instead found a more comfortable fit with a focus on price flow.
It's all about the money and how one chooses to go about getting it. There is no inherently better way, particularly if the trader doesn't care to do the work. A good fundamentalist, after all, will beat a bad technician any day. Therefore, if one is using indicators but has no idea how they're calculated, much less done the testing necessary to make the most of them, he is unlikely to reap the full -- or any -- benefit. If one is trading price flow but embraces irrational views of what constitutes support and resistance, he is similarly unlikely to reap the full benefits of that approach. Either way, it's all about study and testing and screen time. Without that, it makes absolutely no difference how one goes about the process of entering and exiting a position.
Since all of this depends on its existence on the movement of price, however, it is all "price action", hence the confusion over what is meant by "price action". But trading by price means simply that one is following price flow (not order flow, but the movement of price) and the imbalances between buying pressure and selling pressure that prompt that flow. It has nothing to do with any kind of indicator or any sort of bar or even any kind of chart. Is it superior? Yes, if it makes more money than an indicator-based approach. If it doesn't, then no. Does it get one into moves earlier than an indicator-based approach (including those which focus on bars)? Yes, if one understands the buying-selling dynamics mentioned above. But getting in early is only part of what is required to make a profit. Otherwise, all counter-trend traders would be rich.
Though there are undoubtedly price action people who look down their noses at indicator people, the PA people have no reason to feel superior. And contrary to the beliefs of some indicator people, the PA people do not fail to understand indicators; they just don't see the point (other than perhaps scanning a database for price movements). In most cases, the latter have in fact gone through all this, as mentioned earlier, and had insufficient success with it, just as they've been dissatisfied with the chat room phase and the newsletter phase and the advisory service phase and the red-green arrow software phase and the seminar-course-workshop-DVD phase and the trade-the-news phase and the chart pattern phase and have instead found a more comfortable fit with a focus on price flow.
It's all about the money and how one chooses to go about getting it. There is no inherently better way, particularly if the trader doesn't care to do the work. A good fundamentalist, after all, will beat a bad technician any day. Therefore, if one is using indicators but has no idea how they're calculated, much less done the testing necessary to make the most of them, he is unlikely to reap the full -- or any -- benefit. If one is trading price flow but embraces irrational views of what constitutes support and resistance, he is similarly unlikely to reap the full benefits of that approach. Either way, it's all about study and testing and screen time. Without that, it makes absolutely no difference how one goes about the process of entering and exiting a position.
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