12-24-2008, 03:07 AM
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#67 |
Join Date: Jul 2008 Location: chicago Thanks: 2
Thanked 13 Times in 8 Posts
| Re: Price Action Only Quote:
Originally Posted by DbPhoenix » An interesting thread, but a bad beginning. If you believe that discretionary trading is all guesswork and hate guessing and if you think that volume is useless and if you believe that useful trendlines can't be drawn in real time (and, it follows, are therefore useless), then you are virtually guaranteeing your own failure, or, if you prefer, the failure of anyone else to "prove" the value of trading price (i.e., that which is created by the "market" and not by the trader, such as MAs, trendlines, pivot points, Fib, and the vast array of other indicators).
In short, if you're genuinely interested in learning how to trade price, you can't expect to do so if you approach the subject with the attitude that it's all a crock. On the other hand, there's no particular reason why you or anyone else ought to feel as though they are morally obligated in some way to learn how to trade with price alone. Trading by price has no absolutely higher or lower value than trading with indicators. If you believe in your heart of hearts that indicators are the way to go, then stick with them and work it through. Only when you are prepared to address trading by price alone with an open mind will you be prepared to learn how to do it. | Corrections:
I've never found volume to be useful, and the successful traders I've spoken with say they don't use it, either. I also say I am leaving it up on my charts just in case I am able to finally get something from it.
Re: trendlines. 99% of the posts on ET by "gurus" show beautiful trendlines drawn after the fact, and trades made based on trendlines that could not possibly have been drawn at the time. I'm not saying it's impossible to draw trendlines in real time, just that many, many people draw them after the fact and act like they were there all along.
If I sound cynical in that thread, it's because there is so much BS on ET. Fake gurus like to lead newbies astray and try to get them to pay for their courses that don't even backtest profitably (i can name 5 ET'ers off the top of my head who are known for this... and I have them all on my ignore list). I'm putting in a lot of work, I just have my BS detector on from the beginning. |
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