05-22-2009, 09:43 PM
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#26 |
Join Date: Oct 2007 Location: Gurnee, IL Thanks: 86
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| Re: Clayburg And Universal Clone Quote:
Originally Posted by rsi77 » "You can get very impressive optimization results with pretty much any system... "
Yes, that's true...that's why "walking forward" is important. Even then you have to be careful.
There seems to me to be some very odd characteristic of this free "clone" strategy. Quite often it buys at the exact low of a bar, even though that low is lower than any recent bars. As I understand the Clayburg strategy it should buy at the lowest low of the last 3 bars. Maybe the TradeStation interpretation is to blame, or maybe it's the strategy. In any case many of the trades shown would not have been possible in real life. Either they wouldn't have been filled on the touch of that price, or there's no way to know what the lowest low is the last three bars is until the last of the 3 bars has closed--in which case it's too late to buy there.
Also the targets fill even if only touched--often times in the charts I'm looking at that is the last chance they had to fill before stopping out, meaning a stop likely occurred instead of the profit. But the backtest shows profit.
I'm still going to play with this a bit and see if something useful can be learned from it. | Those are all good points and highlight assumptions that are made with the TradeStation platform. For example, if price touches a target it is assumed filled.
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