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Re: "Borrowing" trade signals
Sensei
You are wise in much and I for one thank you for your participation, both in forums in general and here in particular.
I must humbly disagree here.
If signal type A has such an advantage over signal type B, why trade signal type B?
If signal type A decreases in reliability when volatility decreases, why trade signal type A in a decreasing volatility environment?
I think the more prudent approach is to trade A all the time, with the ability to ADD to the position in those times when volatility is both high, and the position is in profit.
Simply, the original position is constant, but the actual size can be increased as the MARKET allows via movement in one's "desired" direction.
Now, suppose signal type B is better than signal type A when Volatility decreases. Here one could trade B rather than A, but the initial position size of B should be the same as the initial position size of A under A's optimal condition-increased volatility.
As I see it, if one is not willing to put the same amount of contracts on B, he is saying that he believes less in B than A. But if one believes less in B, why take the signal in the first place? Again, if the desire is to make more trades, trading more markets, via sister trades or not, or trading more timeframes seems the better course of action.
When test out a new signal type C, yes one could start out with fewer contracts. But once the test period ends, either the value of C merits a full position or no position at all.
I believe in UNDER trading is size and frequency. Too many traders need action and thus look for multiple ways to get in. Yet, if there is a wide disparity among signal types the edge is lessened due to overtrading.
Again if one starts out with x amount of contracts and then adds on as the market proves the trader to be in tune with it, then the best signal type under the best conditions ends up being the one with the most contracts in total. But this is at the end, not the beginning. And the beginning is of course when nothing is truly known about the eventual outcome........
It is not the mutiple signal types I question, rather the variation of size associated with each. Either they are all 5 contract worthy, or some are not while some are. And if some are not, why trade them?
Last edited by Anonymous; 04-13-2007 at 12:19 AM.
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