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Looking at the chapter names of his book, its mostly pretty standard stuff. Solid, but nothing spectacular.
Soul, see my points about zero-sum below and tell me what you think if you are of a mind. |
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I honestly do not know GCB. I mean what about ETF's as well? Is that a zero-sum game? I understand what you are getting out in terms of everyone is getting something out of the market. But I do think Jason was referring in monetary terms. One loses money while one gains money.
This is definitely not a new concept to trading but has me thinking in a very new way. Strategies can be based on trader psychology. The shorter the timeframe, the more we see the shift in trader emotions. (through the constant swings in the markets) If traders buy at
VAH for example but price fail to lift, those traders must sell to limit their losses or from the pain of loss. This will create selling presuure in the markets hence a short opportunity exists through their mistakes. Thus we see more probability of price cruising to
VAL. Or if short term buyers exist at S1 and lifts price, they will need to sell eventually before the close to lock in profits or if they have hit their specific exit point. Which means we are expected to see sell orders by these traders in the near future. Hence, when they sell is a good time to short. Price will only lift further when new market participants step in to buy. So we need to see fresh buying either from the short term buyers or long term buyers. I know this sounds extremely simply with the basic concept of supply vs demand. But I have never fully incorporated trader psychology 100% into my trading. It was always about price action in terms of "market is making a higher low" or "buying volume exists at S1" but never entirely thinking about the traders who bought/sold earlier and will need to liquidate/bail. I truly believe that once I am able to master the trader psych side in price, I will be much better spotting out better trading opportunities. I hope this makes sense.