Traders Laboratory - View Single Post - Something About Oil...
View Single Post
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 05-11-2008, 06:55 PM
MrGimp MrGimp is offline
MrGimp has no status.

 
Join Date: Mar 2008
Posts: 4
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Something About Oil...

So I noticed that Oil has been inverse of the financial sector. Its not entirely a 1 to 1 ratio...but thats rare with stocks anyways. But the correlation is still entirely visible. Now, Commodities (I had thought) were pretty much supposed to be inverse the dollar. That is the explanation for oils boom at least...that as the dollar fell OPEC had to charge more per barrel to make the same profit. BUT...look at the chart of the USO vs the dollar index.

The blue line is the USO, the black line is the dollar index.



Now look at the USO in comparison to the financial sector...
(green is the financials)



Why is there such a strong link between the financials and oil? And would this indicate that the current market downturn has been caused more by the rising price of oil rather than subprime losses and CDO credit default swaps? And does the increasing price of oil indicate FURTHER losses among the financials and the DOW?

Reply With Quote