Tick chart for ES looks different than YM - Page 2 - Traders Laboratory

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Old 10-21-2007, 04:41 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

ES and YM have totally different trading dynamics, IMO. From a 'controlling risk' perspective, I think it is much easier to trade ES as it tends to 'back and fill' and will therefore 'let you out' if you think your trade is not right after giving it some time.

But from a 'reward' perspective, it is much easier to make big moves in YM because it can just fall apart or take-off in a 'spikey' type of move.

Thus, if I am 'going with' a momentum move -- I use YM as it tends to trend strongly on extended spikey type of movement. Nasdaq (NQ) and Russell (ER2) behave like this too. I don't have to trade that many contracts to make a lot of money and can control risk by using smaller size.

If I am 'fading' a move (trading against the recent move because I don't think it is set-up for continuation) -- I use ES with bigger size. This is because if I am wrong about fading this move, I can often get out as it backs and fills and not suffer too much damage in terms of ticks/points.

Being on the wrong side of a 'dogpile' YM/NQ/ER2 move can be absolutely brutal. Likewise, being on the good side of ES is rarely as lucrative as YM. Thus, I like trading small er size with YM and larger size with ES to even this difference out.

In terms of charts, ES trades a ton more ticks than YM -- thus one ES 100-tick bar might take 45 seconds to complete while a 100-tick YM chart might take more than a minute.

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Old 10-21-2007, 08:52 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

Awesome input Dogpile.

Good point on the YM often picking a direction and sailing with it where the ES seems to let you reflect very briefly and re-assess. The ES tends to roll up or down instead of just tanking or soaring as you scramble if your wrong.

I like your concept of YM when your pretty sure of the move to maximize profit potential and the ES when fading or not totally sure. I might have to steal some of that and modify it to use for myself.

Question, on the YM I've heard there is less slippage, do you think that's bs?
I mean the DOM on the ES is quite deep so that could effect your fills BUT the 4 ticks per point gives you what I see as some wiggle room with more opportunities to exit/enter.

Thoughts?

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Old 10-21-2007, 09:48 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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Awesome input Dogpile.
Question, on the YM I've heard there is less slippage, do you think that's bs?
I mean the DOM on the ES is quite deep so that could effect your fills BUT the 4 ticks per point gives you what I see as some wiggle room with more opportunities to exit/enter.

Thoughts?
This has been debated on ET before.

The thought process is:
YM tick @ $5
ES tick @ $12.50

Therefore, the 'cost of slippage' is less on the YM if you assume that when you place an order on the YM and ES, there is no slippage. Since the tick value is less on the YM, it costs you 'less' to trade here.

The serious assumption here is no slippage. The YM trades about 1/10 the volume of the ES so if you trade any decent size, you will see slippage on the YM; whereas you may not on the ES. So, the question then becomes how much slippage are you seeing on the YM. For every 2.5 YM slippage points, you'd do the same on the ES.

So in theory the YM could be 'less expensive' when trading small lots. When trading larger lots, you will see some slippage AND you can EASILY send some red flags. What I mean is, if you throw a 20, 30 or 50 lot on the YM, that will not go unnoticed. Throw a 100 lot on the ES and it's just normal trading biz. When trading larger lots, the last thing you want is to send a red flag out there in my opinion.

In the end, the ES is where the serious money is at. I suggest trading there as soon as possible b/c that's where you will end up trading, whether that is 3 mo's or 3 years from now. The ES has it's own characteristics as you guys have pointed out a few here, but it will take some serious screen time to see more.

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Old 10-22-2007, 08:59 AM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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Question, on the YM I've heard there is less slippage, do you think that's bs?
I mean the DOM on the ES is quite deep so that could effect your fills BUT the 4 ticks per point gives you what I see as some wiggle room with more opportunities to exit/enter.
I don't think there is that much slippage on either. Some, yes -- but not a lot. This probably depends on the timeframe you trade on though... I don't make that many trades per day so this is less a factor than if you make a lot of trades per day.

One other thing I think is relevant that I didn't mention is actually pretty important. With ES, due to the 'back & fill' --- you can often enter at say 1501 and offer out 1/4 or 1/2 of your position for 6-7 ticks above that entry and get filled if your initial entry was pretty good. Even if you are wrong about the ultimate move, you get that partial position off at a profit and have low risk on the balance. This is much of the reason you can use bigger size on ES, IMO.

I don't think you can do this with the other contracts. For the other contracts, primarily NQ and YM, I usually use 'stop-orders' to ENTER. I am trying to 'join-in' on a dogpile type of move -- often due to program trading. You can still take partials off if the initial program pushes you to a profit right away -- but your 'stop' entry-order on YM will often be just fine in terms of short-term location -- whereas you cannot do this with ES -- I don't think you can ENTER on stop-orders on ES profitably -- you give up too much.

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Old 10-23-2007, 05:36 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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I suggest trading there as soon as possible b/c that's where you will end up trading, whether that is 3 mo's or 3 years from now. The ES has it's own characteristics as you guys have pointed out a few here, but it will take some serious screen time to see more.
I'm going to try and sit and watch it starting NOV. and do some light duty trades. I like the idea of 12.50 per tick instead of 5.00 per tick. Not sure why I never tried it in the past, maybe because I started with YM and didn't bother to venture outside.

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Old 10-23-2007, 05:51 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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I'm going to try and sit and watch it starting NOV. and do some light duty trades. I like the idea of 12.50 per tick instead of 5.00 per tick. Not sure why I never tried it in the past, maybe because I started with YM and didn't bother to venture outside.
My view is simple Bear - if you can make money trading, would you rather have $12.50/tick or $5/tick? All things being equal, I want $12.50.

This is assuming of course your system makes money over time.

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Old 10-23-2007, 08:26 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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My view is simple Bear - if you can make money trading, would you rather have $12.50/tick or $5/tick? All things being equal, I want $12.50.

This is assuming of course your system makes money over time.
As a noob I look at it the opposite. Would I rather risk $5 per tick or risk $12.50 per tick? But I often think about fills and slippage between the 2. I'm a small timer so either could absorb my impact without a trace.

If/when I move up in lot size or feel my system is good to go I'll switch over to the ES and keep the YM for hedging use mainly.

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Old 10-23-2007, 10:08 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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As a noob I look at it the opposite. Would I rather risk $5 per tick or risk $12.50 per tick? But I often think about fills and slippage between the 2. I'm a small timer so either could absorb my impact without a trace.
That was my point MC.

Until you are confident in your trading, 'only losing' $5/tick is the most attractive option.

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Old 10-23-2007, 10:26 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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That was my point MC.

Until you are confident in your trading, 'only losing' $5/tick is the most attractive option.
Are you calling me a f'in loser?



J/K

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Old 10-23-2007, 11:44 PM
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM

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As a noob I look at it the opposite. Would I rather risk $5 per tick or risk $12.50 per tick? But I often think about fills and slippage between the 2. I'm a small timer so either could absorb my impact without a trace.

If/when I move up in lot size or feel my system is good to go I'll switch over to the ES and keep the YM for hedging use mainly.
True - the main concern should be how much you will lose. But i will say that with YM, I find small stops tend to get whipsawed alot, unless it's one of those crazy days when the trends are perfect, but these days rarely happen.

The thing with ES is, there are less ticks for equivalent distance of YM right? So this may completely change my dynamics. Meaning, let's assume YM is moving in tandem with ES. There's more ticks for YM because the resolution is finer right? Does anyone know if the asset value of the contract itself is similar to YM in size?

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