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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
ES and YM have totally different trading dynamics, IMO. From a 'controlling risk' perspective, I think it is much easier to trade ES as it tends to 'back and fill' and will therefore 'let you out' if you think your trade is not right after giving it some time.
But from a 'reward' perspective, it is much easier to make big moves in YM because it can just fall apart or take-off in a 'spikey' type of move. Thus, if I am 'going with' a momentum move -- I use YM as it tends to trend strongly on extended spikey type of movement. Nasdaq (NQ) and Russell (ER2) behave like this too. I don't have to trade that many contracts to make a lot of money and can control risk by using smaller size. If I am 'fading' a move (trading against the recent move because I don't think it is set-up for continuation) -- I use ES with bigger size. This is because if I am wrong about fading this move, I can often get out as it backs and fills and not suffer too much damage in terms of ticks/points. Being on the wrong side of a 'dogpile' YM/NQ/ER2 move can be absolutely brutal. Likewise, being on the good side of ES is rarely as lucrative as YM. Thus, I like trading small er size with YM and larger size with ES to even this difference out. In terms of charts, ES trades a ton more ticks than YM -- thus one ES 100-tick bar might take 45 seconds to complete while a 100-tick YM chart might take more than a minute. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
The thought process is: YM tick @ $5 ES tick @ $12.50 Therefore, the 'cost of slippage' is less on the YM if you assume that when you place an order on the YM and ES, there is no slippage. Since the tick value is less on the YM, it costs you 'less' to trade here. The serious assumption here is no slippage. The YM trades about 1/10 the volume of the ES so if you trade any decent size, you will see slippage on the YM; whereas you may not on the ES. So, the question then becomes how much slippage are you seeing on the YM. For every 2.5 YM slippage points, you'd do the same on the ES. So in theory the YM could be 'less expensive' when trading small lots. When trading larger lots, you will see some slippage AND you can EASILY send some red flags. What I mean is, if you throw a 20, 30 or 50 lot on the YM, that will not go unnoticed. Throw a 100 lot on the ES and it's just normal trading biz. When trading larger lots, the last thing you want is to send a red flag out there in my opinion. In the end, the ES is where the serious money is at. I suggest trading there as soon as possible b/c that's where you will end up trading, whether that is 3 mo's or 3 years from now. The ES has it's own characteristics as you guys have pointed out a few here, but it will take some serious screen time to see more. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
One other thing I think is relevant that I didn't mention is actually pretty important. With ES, due to the 'back & fill' --- you can often enter at say 1501 and offer out 1/4 or 1/2 of your position for 6-7 ticks above that entry and get filled if your initial entry was pretty good. Even if you are wrong about the ultimate move, you get that partial position off at a profit and have low risk on the balance. This is much of the reason you can use bigger size on ES, IMO. I don't think you can do this with the other contracts. For the other contracts, primarily NQ and YM, I usually use 'stop-orders' to ENTER. I am trying to 'join-in' on a dogpile type of move -- often due to program trading. You can still take partials off if the initial program pushes you to a profit right away -- but your 'stop' entry-order on YM will often be just fine in terms of short-term location -- whereas you cannot do this with ES -- I don't think you can ENTER on stop-orders on ES profitably -- you give up too much. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
I'm going to try and sit and watch it starting NOV. and do some light duty trades. I like the idea of 12.50 per tick instead of 5.00 per tick. Not sure why I never tried it in the past, maybe because I started with YM and didn't bother to venture outside.
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
This is assuming of course your system makes money over time. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
If/when I move up in lot size or feel my system is good to go I'll switch over to the ES and keep the YM for hedging use mainly.
__________________
Volume, time and price work in unison to create waves which determine perceived value. Listen to what the auction is telling you. Thanks to my mentors that have helped/are helping me unravel this ball of insanity. I WILL get there and you WILL NOT be forgotten. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
Until you are confident in your trading, 'only losing' $5/tick is the most attractive option. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
J/K
__________________
Volume, time and price work in unison to create waves which determine perceived value. Listen to what the auction is telling you. Thanks to my mentors that have helped/are helping me unravel this ball of insanity. I WILL get there and you WILL NOT be forgotten. |
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Re: Tick chart for ES looks different than YM
The thing with ES is, there are less ticks for equivalent distance of YM right? So this may completely change my dynamics. Meaning, let's assume YM is moving in tandem with ES. There's more ticks for YM because the resolution is finer right? Does anyone know if the asset value of the contract itself is similar to YM in size? |
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| Traders Laboratory - forumdisplay | This thread | Refback | 10-20-2007 01:19 PM |
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