Using Fibonacci Extensions to Estimate the Range - Traders Laboratory

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Old 08-13-2006, 09:12 AM
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Lightbulb Using Fibonacci Extensions to Estimate the Range

Heres a simple method that you can use to anticipate the trading range based on the previous days range. We use only Fibonacci numbers of 1.27 and 1.618.

First we identify the previous days range. In this example lets take the S&P 500 emini:

High: 1294
Low: 1281.50
Range: 12.5

Second, we take the
(Range x 1.27) + Previous Day Low
(12.5 x 1.27) + 1281.50 = 1297.375

This is our first estimated high.

To get the low:
High - (Range x 1.27)
1294 - (12.5 x 1.27) = 1278.125

This is our first estimated low.

Third: We use the same exact formula but replace 1.27 with 1.618.

High:
(Range x 1.618) + Previous Day Low
(12.5 x 1.618) + 1281.50 = 1301.725

This is our second estimated high.

Low:
High - (Range x 1.618)
1294 - (12.5 x 1.618) = 1273.775

This is our second estimated low.

Now we get two estimated ranges: 1297.375 - 1278.125 & 1301.725 - 1273.775.

Hope you find this useful.

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