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Old 03-17-2008, 03:46 AM
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Re: Be Careful The Next Few Days

Dang, the more the Fed pumps, the more the leaks are opening up. This is like a little boy plugging a hole in the dam with his finger... just the beginning of more things to come I think. First bailout since 29 crash.

The currency market is going nuts, some dropping GBPJPY dropped at least 10c during Tokyo hours... very volatile, indeed.

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Old 03-17-2008, 06:21 AM
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Re: Be Careful The Next Few Days

Key will be if BOE or ECB do anything, or if we get any government intervening in their currency movements. Traders already know the Fed is their bitch; we will soon see how other's start to react.

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Old 03-17-2008, 07:12 AM
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Re: Be Careful The Next Few Days

That's true, but I have the impression BCE sees this as the Fed and US problem, not Europe's problem. I don't see the damage in Europe was as large or widespread as in US. I think the banks here impose high qualifications to obtain loans/mortgages. The US banks just binged bending their own rules on loans and are now purging... bulimic behavior. So far Trichet has only focused on containing inflation, nothing more. BOE, no idea, they can go either way I think.

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Old 03-17-2008, 07:30 AM
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Re: Be Careful The Next Few Days

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That's true, but I have the impression BCE sees this as the Fed and US problem, not Europe's problem. I don't see the damage in Europe was as large or widespread as in US. I think the banks here impose high qualifications to obtain loans/mortgages. The US banks just binged bending their own rules on loans and are now purging... bulimic behavior. So far Trichet has only focused on containing inflation, nothing more. BOE, no idea, they can go either way I think.
Well said, I think the BOE is swinging more towards containing inflation as well.

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Old 03-17-2008, 07:42 AM
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Re: Be Careful The Next Few Days

So far only Norther Rock was the problem which has been bailed out already. Seems other banks in UK don't seem rocked by it (pun intended). UK's economy is closely tied to US than to US, so if they are focused more on inflation, chances are Europe is even more focused on inflation than the other side.

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