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2) Or perhpas the current move is quite honest. After all, there was recent data about slowing economy in Europe, making ECB rate cuts seem more plausible. Perhaps this is nothing unusual like the author seems to suggest.
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Hey Abe,
You’re certainly much closer to the real reason in your highlighted comments above.
There’s a very clear level of supply up at 1.49.
(4 hour) demand kicks in layered from 1.4520 back to the stronger base at 1.4350, very visible on that timeframe & playable via the smaller (gambling) timeframes if that’s your weapon of choice.
So, you got your range boundaries right there. Price is changing hands inside this upper trend cushion at fair value & won’t get hoofed outside until the Fundamental bias says so.
It will move when the psychology dictates & not before. Europe has it's own conflicting data to deal with, not to mention the jerky economic scenario spewing out of the U.S of late. Currencies are sensitive to the slightest little variable out there & will turn on a dime if threatened.
As long as you have your boundaries from the higher timeframes to work with, you can drill down into your favored templates & pick prices off according to the conditions.
I’d worry less about what some guy (one individual) is spouting off & more about the reactions to the (mass) psychology. After all, that's what drives & dictates prices.