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Are you interesting in next day direction (Up|Down) forecast?
Small introduction:
I'm financial analyst. Last 8 month I'm try to construct market direction forecast based on fundamental information. At this time I have one model for MSFT (Microsoft).This model have accuracy nearly 87-92%. This model don't construct for prediction price, it's not possible. I want to know,if this information is valuable for traders? Next step in this research i want to collect a list of market instruments for analyse based on your preference (near 3-5 symbols). For trial period (near month) i want to publish forecast on this forum. I will be very grateful to administration of this web site for help in organization of this experiment. You can post your ideas,wish for forecast and market symbols in this threat.
Thank you!
PS: Sorry for my bad English. |
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To be completely honest here. A directional bias based on fundamental information that has only been tested on a few stocks for about 20 days isn't going to get very far.
You're going to need
at least 100-120 days of reliable data to impress anyone. 20 trading days could be just to close to randomness imo.
Good luck though!
