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Old 10-08-2007, 10:32 PM
Dogpile Dogpile is offline
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Re: ES Trading for 10/8 thru 10/12 2007

For tomorrow, my bias is bearish. Taylor trading technique shows that the 2-period closing ROC is high and due to flip down, particularly for Nasdaq. Moreover, we built lower value today (other than Nasdaq) -- showing no residual upside momentum from Fridays big up day -- somewhat surprising. Friday is looking like an 'excess high' was made and we may have begun a good downward auction here?

ES & RUS both have 3 bar 'cap' formations (an Art Collins 3-bar daily pattern with highest high and highest close occuring in the middle day).

All that said, we traded down and formed a fat profile low in the 2-day range -- indicating lack of seller conviction. Volume was extremely light. Nevertheless, I was a bit surprised that bulls never really showed up when they really could have taken control from the bears today. The lack of buying pressure today combined with a gap down off an excess high is all a big red flag in my book. I did not go home short though because of the PVP/high-volume area just below us in the 1558.00 area.

Ant, what you thinking for tomorrow?


Last edited by Dogpile; 10-08-2007 at 10:54 PM.
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