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| Market Internals Discussion forum on market internals, pit noise/action, and price action to determine the overall strength/weakness of the markets. |
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Yeah, I have not been using the up down volume to indicate a chop day as of yet ... but thats a great idea!
Like mcichocki said ... knowing when its a chop day vs a trend day is VERY helpful (especially when your experience is limited, like mine is ![]() Travis |
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
the contrarian logic being that by the time enough bullish (or bearish) sentiment has built up, it's usually time for the Pros to step in and fade the public ..... |
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
Very dangerous game!
You will get chopped on strong trend days. The tick extremes actually show strength. As for time for the "Pro's" tp step in, well the "pro's" lost so much money doing this........(see the "zoo" guys...). The "pro's" never categorically fade anything, nor do they ever face the market with a given strategy(...like I will fade the tick at 1000..."), they adapt and react and use good r/r based on proper sup/res analysis confluence which is mainly visual and not indicator orientated. This game is though, I want to direct you to a guy that had a blod on day trading and just retired (and he is very very good). http://highprobability.blogspot.com/ This is a very difficult game to predict the future guys. |
| The Following User Says Thank You to david111 For This Useful Post: | ||
firewalker (06-07-2008) | ||
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
![]() Pros fade price action divergence, not indicators themselves. Well the big pro's don't predict the future or fade anything, they make the future as they control supply and demand. And the higher end retail traders that can't move the market meerely take the trades with higher odds and accept the risk of a failed trade. It's a probability game, nothing more or less IMO.You're dead on...you fade ticks and you might as well send me your money, hell I'll even give you a kick in the balls to remind you what a dopey idea it was. It may have worked but overall internals will leave you confused and broke. Even the setup I gave below is easy to use in hindsight, forward use it's not so easy. Tough game, but a great challenge. ![]()
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Price is simply the 2 way auctions method of advertisement. Volume measures the willingness of market participants to transact at the advertised price (AKA perceived value). |
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| The Following User Says Thank You to MC For This Useful Post: | ||
firewalker (06-07-2008) | ||
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
Hey Guys this is HPT,
Most of my blowups and screwups have been from doing what mcichocki said, gambling. Gambling as in, adding to losers, and overleveraging myself on bad trades. As long as you have good risk management (dont add to losers, use planned out stops, and trade the right size for your account), then you should avoid the screwups that you frequently see I have. I believe market internals are very helpful in day trading the indices. For example, you wouldn't want to be looking for short setups in the market with nyse A/D at 3 in the afternoon and when NYSE tick extreme readings haven't touched -400 all day and the volume is below avg. These are the types of slow low volume days that creep higher all day that many traders get stuck trying to fade. I know this from experience. HPT |
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
i thought one of the purposes of this thread was to identify strong trending days from choppy days ?
Of course nobody is going to fade against a trend but a) there are opportunities on a trend day to fade a reaction back in the direction of the main trend b) there are opportunities galore on choppy days. I was just interested if anyone else uses it. Obviously not. Your funeral. |
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
![]() HPT, you should check out Jperl's thread: http://www.traderslaboratory.com/for...mary-3326.html And consider using the Standard Deviation Bands with the VWAP. You can get NinjaTrader which is free to hook up with your IB feed. And there is the code for the VWAP SD bands somewhere on the Ninja forum.(PM me if you can't find it) Fading at the 3rd SD band confirmed by other internals is a High-Probability Trade. |
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Re: Market Internals for Day Trading YM
Agreed. Especially in line with S&R levels.
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