Are the markets random or predictable? - Traders Laboratory
Forum Guidelines | Contact Us
Home

Go Back   Traders Laboratory > General Topics > Market Analysis

Market Analysis Fundamental outlook, intermarket analysis, and general market discussion.


Reply
 
LinkBack Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
  #1 (permalink)  
Old 09-27-2006, 03:34 AM
Connected has no status.

 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
This member is the original thread starter. Are the markets random or predictable?

Being engaged in the stock market for a few months now, I find it very hard to look for any predictable patterns. Do the markets move completely randomly?

Reply With Quote
  #2 (permalink)  
Old 09-27-2006, 03:38 AM
Soultrader's Avatar
Soultrader is focusing on discipline.

Trader Specs
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Location: Tokyo, Japan
Posts: 3,203
Thanks: 156
Thanked 460 Times in 205 Posts
Send a message via Skype™ to Soultrader
Re: Are the markets random or predictable?

In my case, I find it easier to understand the day by day movements in the markets. The longer the timeframe I find it harder to predict.

The untrained eye sees price mveoments as chaos. But with the proper training and hours of practice, I think one can start to understand the language of the markets.

__________________
James Lee
TradersLaboratory.com
-----------------------------
Empowering traders with knowledge.

Please support TL by visiting our sponsors. Thanks!
Reply With Quote
  #3 (permalink)  
Old 09-27-2006, 03:45 AM
ES ES is offline
ES has no status.

 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 12
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Re: Are the markets random or predictable?

If the markets were completely random, there is no way a day or swing trader can be profitable. The fact that traders are able to extract money from the markets daily proves the markets are not random.

Reply With Quote
  #4 (permalink)  
Old 09-27-2006, 02:06 PM
Trade Up has no status.

 
Join Date: Sep 2006
Posts: 34
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Re: Are the markets random or predictable?

There are a number of factors within the market which seem to stay constant, e.g. people over buying on good news and people over selling on bad news.

The trick to reading the markets is to learn the language of the market. If you know what to listen for, markets can tell you a lot about the future movement of stocks.

Like Soultrader said, after a while studying the markets, you will begin to pick up some of the signals.

Reply With Quote
  #5 (permalink)  
Old 10-09-2006, 03:39 PM
KyleAvery has no status.

 
Join Date: Oct 2006
Posts: 3
Thanks: 0
Thanked 0 Times in 0 Posts
Re: Are the markets random or predictable?

I think markets can be predicted based on many factors. But then, people with heavy capital back up, smartly, manipulate market in their favour. So, one can definately not be sure about his prediction. I myself have suffered with some sudden weird changes in market trends.

Reply With Quote
Reply



Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Trackbacks are On
Pingbacks are On
Refbacks are On
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:28 PM.

 

 
 


1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 51 52 53 54 55 56 57 58 59 60 61 62 63 64 65 66 67 68 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76