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Re: CFTC Reports of Commitment of Futures Traders
I've got little experience with the reports, so could someone please tell me if my interpretations are correct?
Here are this week's figures for the CAD futures
Commercials:
Long: 30,583 -5,937
Short: 91,730 +3,518
Non Commercials:
Long: 73,234 +5,221
Short: 21,889 -1,030
The weekly chart shows that price has been rejected at 0.9530 to 0.9570 for six consecutive weeks. Volatility is also decreasing and entering a congestion area. It's unlikely that the non commercials will gain the upper hand, the commercials have the deeper pockets and would be in a lot of pain if prices didn't drop.
For me that sounds like a compelling case to go short at the right price. Am i correct or is my approach flawed?
Last edited by Sparrow; 09-09-2007 at 05:36 PM.
Reason: wrong numbers
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