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Re: Inverted Hammer
I just checked and I was probably wrong about that - it looks like rth are the open auction open to the electronic close:
http://www.cbot.com/cbot/pub/cont_de...+33905,00.html I think it would be silly to base your charts on that given the correlation between the ES and YM and given the fact that the underlying stocks dont start trading until 0930 EST. Every man and his dog in the US equities market and their derivatives is looking at the 0930 open so it makes no sense to be pedantic and look at the 0820 CBOT pit open (which doesn't get much volume anyway). |
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Re: Inverted Hammer
For example, the last chart interval for the 3min chart really only has 1min worth of transactions. However, the time template has no problem with the 1min, 5min chart as examples in that all intervals are equal in time duration. Also, your chart example proved me wrong in that eSignal now has the option of showing the 0820am est data whereas in the past it did not. Yet, there are still many other low tier data providers still using the 0930am est regular session start time for YM. By the way, this discussion is not aimed at veteran traders because they tend to understand the price action. Thus, they aren't too caught up with what type of Bearish or Bullish pattern it is. They just want to know if its Bullish or Bearish via their understanding of the markets and don't get too boggy down about what type of chart pattern just occurred.
Most retail traders I know (mainly online trading pals) are using YM with a regular trading session start time of 0930am est whereas in comparison the professional firm traders are using 0820am est. However, understanding the price action prior to the appearance of any pattern signal makes this discussion unimportant. Once again, this discussion is not aimed at veteran traders because they tend to understand the price action. This discussion is aimed at newbie traders applying Japanese Candlestick analysis because they tend to put more emphasis on the candlestick pattern (it defines the price action) instead of understanding the price action. As for me, I've been using the 0820am est start time for YM regular session chart and will continue to do so especially since its caused me no problems in my intermarket analysis with other key markets. Just keep in mind that most of the traders I personally know are pro traders whereas those I know online tend to be retail traders. Simply, the guys I have beers with or hang out with in person are using the 0820am YM regular session chart and that obviously has impact on my bias. Thus, if a 0930am YM regular hour start time works fine for you...keep using it. ![]() Further, I completely agree with what cooter said in that YM on the CBOT should have the same start time as the CME Eminis to keep everything uniform. Why its not that way is very odd. To notouch, most retail traders are using the 0930am regular session chart except for most professional traders. Therefore, not every man and his dog are watching the 0930am as a start time. However, your absolutely correct in that there's not much action between 0820am - 0930am est except for when there's a 0830am est key economic report(s). That's when the 0820am est price action becomes very useful along with setting up possible support/resistance zones for trades that occurs after 0930am est. Therefore, its info that's important on some trading days. Last of all, anybody check out the regular session start time of EuroFX on the CME...it's 0820am est. Go figure. :mad:
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M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term "Volatility Analysis is a doorway to consistent profits." Last edited by NihabaAshi; 08-06-2007 at 09:52 PM. |
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Re: Inverted Hammer
NihabaAshi, I don't think YM gets a huge amount of professional interest, apart from arbitrage programs. Apart from the arbs it's mainly small and medium sized retail traders that trade YM. Just compare the lot sizes on the YM tape (more than 100 is unusually large) to the ES tape (not unusual to see 1000 lots going through). Most professionals are trading the stocks, the GLOBEX futures or the CME pit so it makes sense, if one believes that following the professionals is important, to use the rth for equities and CME i.e. 0930 to 1600 or 1615. Of course noting the overnight action is important but interesting overnight action often begins much earlier than 0820.
Also this whole debate will soon be academic because YM is transferring to GLOBEX early next year so you may as well start getting used to it now. ![]() Last edited by notouch; 08-06-2007 at 11:14 PM. |
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Re: Inverted Hammer
You have a choice to use an alter picture or not. Further, the fact that the high end data vendors do not alter that picture while the low end data vendors tend (not all of them but most of them) do alter that picture should concern anyone doing Japanese Candlestick analysis on YM. I just can't imagine calling up my data provider and tell them to include an option to alter YM because most of my retail trading pals are using the CME session time for YM instead of the CBOT session time for YM. Simply, I use what my data provider gives me and what they give me is not an alter image. Further, as you noted, next year all data vendors will be on the same page when YM transfers and this will no longer be an issue for new traders. Yet, for definition discussions, just don't be surprised that some traders have different candlestick patterns for YM in comparison to others. Therefore, the issue isn't really (as I noted before) if its a Doji, Shooting Star or Inverted Hammer on that 15min YM chart. The issue is do we understand the price action to see that it was bearish.
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M.A. Perry (a.k.a. NihabaAshi) Japanese Candlestick term "Volatility Analysis is a doorway to consistent profits." |
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